8.12.16

Miza alegerilor legislative 2016


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S-a incheiat o campanie atipica in Romania.. Contextul european in care aceasta a avut loc este un atac permanent asupra statului natiune venit din toate partile. Globalizarea economică a tocit instrumentele politicii economice naţionale şi a slăbit mecanismele de transfer şi distribuţie care întăreau incluziunea socială. Mai mult, decidenţii politici adesea se  ascund în spatele (real sau imaginar) presiunilor  competitive emanate din economia globală ca să justifice lipsa lor de responsabilitate faţă de cerinţele populaţiei şi invocă aceleaşi presiuni când implementează politici impopulare cum ar fi austeritatea fiscală. Când democraţia nu reuşeşte să performeze economic sau politic  este posibil ca parte din oameni să se gândeasca la soluţii autoritare. Şi, pentru destui economişti, delegarea politicii economice spre structuri tehnocrate pentru a le izola de „nebunia maselor”de cele mai multe ori este soluţia preferată de abordat.Trendul tehnocrat ne-a ajuns si pe noi in ultimul an chiar daca acesta a devenit realitate aparent prin cerinta strazii. Nu vorbesc inca a n-a oara despre performantele guvernului tehnocrat, ci despre sansele democratiei liberale in actualul context politic, de fapt miza actualelor alegeri.
O adevarată democraţie, una care combină regula majorităţii cu respectul pentru drepturile minorităţilor reclamă două seturi de instituţii: în primul rând instituţii de reprezentare, cum sunt partidele politice, parlamentele şi sistemele electorale care au nevoie să obţină sufragiul popular, ceea ce le conferă dreptul de acţiune politică; al doilea derivă din faptul că democraţia reclamă şi instituţii de constrângere cum ar fi justiţie şi media independente, pentru a garanta respectarea drepturilor fundamentale precum libertatea de exprimare şi prevenirea abuzului de putere al guvernelor. Prin prezenta guvernului tehnocrat rolul partidelor si al Parlamentului s-au diminuat vizibil in conditiile in care tehnocratii si-au depasit prerogativele uzuale de gestionare a treburilor curente. Modificari ale legilor prin ordonante de urgenta, aparitia altor legi noi in acelasi fel, ignorarea motiunilor simple votate de Parlament, tendinta de a se considera un lux drepturile omului de catre ministrul care ar trebui sa fie atent la respectarea plenara a acestora, denota slabirea institutiei cu reprezentativitatea cea mai evidenta, adica a Parlamentul. Pe de alta parte justitia si presa  de regula institutii independente, cu rol predominant in respectarea drepturilor fundamentale si prevenirea abuzurilor de putere si-au depasit atributele, facand uz de o autoritate excesiva. De ce presa? Gandesc in primul rand la impunerea subiectelor  si ingradirea timpilor de exprimare a interlocutorilor, in special in cazul televiziunilor, in mod particular in cadrul acestei campanii electorale.

Si am ajuns la momentul campaniei. Prin ce s-a remarcat aceasta campanie? In primul rand pe dilema premierului si nu pe programele partidelor politice, adica rolul executivului primeaza in continuare asupra orientarilor ideologice si programatice. Televiziunile gazda nu au pus deloc accentul pe descrieri de intentii politice si programe,  pe discutii comparative asupra programelor, ci pe cancanuri si intrebari nesfarsite daca Dragnea va fi premier, daca Ciolos va accepta sa fie premier peste o majoritate din doua sau mai multe formatiuni politice, daca Ciolos, eroul zilei va continua  sa se bucure indirect de optiunea populara. Adica, lucruri care ignora nevoia de reprezentativitate, deci de democratie. Preferinţele electorale sunt un construct bazat pe procesarea de informaţii public-relevante. În absenţa unor dezbateri deschise şi informate, apte să contracareze manipularea, decizia colectivă devine o loterie sau o funcţie compozită a diferitelor curente manipulatorii din societate.

Daca nu ne gandim la democratie, per a contrario ne putem gandi la un regim autoritar, de genul celui in care premierul isi ia angajamente la Bruxelles fara sa consulte inainte forul ales al natiunii, in care acesta ignora Parlamentul cand angajeaza tara in imprumuturi pentru achizitii directe de tehnica militara, in care privatizeaza, sau cum prefera D-l Ciolos sa se exprime, vinde pachete minoritare de actiuni, in care prin ordonante de urgenta modifica redeventele in favoarea exploatarilor straine, etc. Avem deci un executiv puternic, secondat de un aparat represiv pe masura, cu servicii speciale militarizate, cu program de guvernare schitat in 10 puncte care pot insemna orice, mai putin masuri concrete. Tara va depinde doar de un prim ministru  pentru care romanii nu au avut ocazia sa voteze. Mai mult, devin din ce in ce mai sigura –scuze daca se va dovedi ca am gresit- ca majoritatea care va impune premierul va fi formata din PNL, USR, UDMR, PMP. Poate il vom regasi in pozitii de forta chiar pe nepenalul Basescu. Cu voie de la stapanirea germana. Acestea sunt semne care anticipeaza un regim autoritar.

In tarile europene  reprezentativitatea nerespectata local si la nivel European si diminuarea democratiilor in statele europene  a constituit motivul pentru care partidele de extremă dreapta si populiste  nefiind de acord cu democraţia diminuată şi cu pierderea atributelor de suverantate în favoarea hiperglobalizării, au câştigat adepţi.  Asadar, daca liderii lumii ar trebui sa gaseasca mecanisme de moderare a globalizarii, statele natiune ar trebui sa-si apere cu toata forta reprezentativitatea si vointa populara si sa-si intareasca statul nu prin masuri autoritare ci prin masuri de intarire a  INCLUZIUNII SOCIALE, atat timp cat nu e inca prea tarziu!!
                                                                                                                                                  SD





8.10.16

Criza economica financiara si pensiile cu capitalizare

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Intr-un sistem de pensii pay-as-you-go (PAYG) sustenabilitatea este legată de dezvoltarea PIB și în egală măsură de numărul de salariați și de salariul acestora. Acest fapt nu doar că are sens economic întrucât nevoile pensionarului sunt legate de volumul de bunuri și servicii disponibile, dar oferă și mai multă fiabilitate. În timp ce rata profitului pe piețele financiare fluctuează drastic și impredictibil, venitul național și salariile se modifică relativ mai lent.
Problema unei sustenabilități mai mari a sistemului PAYG este mai puțin controversată decât cea a presupuselor randamente mai mari ale schemelor de pensii  capitalizate. În mod semnificativ rate mai mari de rentabilitate sunt citate adesea ca un avantaj presupus al sistemelor de pensii capitalizate integral. În timp ce performanțele cerute în PAYG se împlinesc în dependență directă de creșterea salariilor și a numărului de contribuabili, investițiile financiare din schemele cu capitalizare pot aduce beneficii mai mari datorita randamentelor mai mari ale pieței de capital.. Prin urmare, viitorii pensionari care au luat parte la un sistem PAYG ar pierde în mod semnificativ dat fiind incertitudinea veniturilor viitoare.
În special spre sfârșitul anilor 1990 stimulate de o lunga perioadă de performanțe excesive ale investirii capitalului, s-au dezvoltat în populație asteptări exagerate privind randamentele investiționale. Riscurile pieței de capital au fost subestimate în mod semnificativ.
În urma masivei scăderi a pieței de valori la începutul anilor 2000 și a prăbușirii acesteia în 2008, un anumit recul al optimismului a avut loc, dar așteptările unor randamente mari au continuat să prevaleze.
OECD realizează periodic simulari de randament care par a se baza pe ipoteze nerealist de mari de profit investițional, poate și pentru că ipotezele au fost făcute pe baza unor perioade de observație nereprezentative. O analiză bazată pe o verificare empirică  indică însă rate îndoielnice ale profiturilor fondurilor de pensii acum și în viitor, având în vedere plauzibilitatea ipotezelor și evoluțiile pieței de capital. În primul rînd o ipoteză prea optimistă a profitului este datorată  calcului de profit pe termen lung, când se presupune că rezultatele perioadelor negative vor avea timp să fie compensate de activitatea pozitiva a burselor și pieței de capital în general.Astfel, Evaluarile OECD din 2009 au luat în considerare o perioadă de rulare a fondurilor timp de 45 ani,  perioadă neuzuală luată în calcul de autorii evaluării Rezultatul probabil că a uimit și autorii întrucât acesta a relevat că  bazându-se pe ultimii 25 ani dinainte de 2006, prognoza obținută arată că activele ajustate cu inflația  bondurilor  unui deponent se pot dubla la fiecare 13 ani si a acțiunilor la bursa la fiecare 9 ani.
Atunci când se utilizează date istorice pe o perioadă lungă de timp, mai degrabă decât perioadele de observație relativ scurte și non-reprezentative, devine evident faptul că este necesară o estimare mult mai sobră a așteptărilor viitoare de profit. În acest fel nu numai ca presupusul avantaj al rentabilitatii schemelor de pensii  se dovedește nefondat dar se dovedește și că asumpțiile rentabilității pe termen lung a fondurilor de pensii capitalizate au nevoie de o diminuare substanțială. Aceste concluzii au în vedere în special perioadele încă necunoscut de lungi ale deflației în care nu se stie daca randamentul poate acoperi măcar diferența până la valoarea nominală inițiala a depunerii.
David Mum, seful Departamentului de cercetare al Uniunii salariatilor privati din Viena a calculat rentabilitatea bruta totala pe baza datelor istorice din SUA din 1927, a „portofoliilor echilibrate” (50% acțiuni, 50% bonduri) pe o perioadă de investiții de 40 ani. Rata totală medie brută  a portofoliului echilibrat a reieșit a fi de 4,2%, cu 3,6 puncte procentuale sub valoarea folosita ca baza empirica a simulării randamentelor de catre OECD. Chiar dacă economia nu avea anvergura prezentă în anii luați în considerare de către David Mom, deflația actuală ar compensa eventualul pesimism al calculului. Așadar, să presupunem că la nivel mondial rata anuală ar fi în medie de 4,2%

Mai mult decât atât, diferența empirică dintre rentabilitatea brută medie reală și creșterea medie a PIB-ului  real s-au dovedit a fi foarte mici: Creșterea medie a PIB-ului real al SUA față de aceeași perioadă este de 3,6 la sută, mai exact cu 0,6 la sută mai mică decât randamentul empiric total brut pe investiții echilibrate. Prin urmare, diferența este atât de mica încât randamentul efectiv mediu - după deducerea costurilor e posibil să dispară. Nu ținem seama însă ca costurile de administrare a fondurilor cu capitalizare ar trebui sa fie mai mici decat cresterea medie a PIB. Realitatea este însă mai severă, în sensul că costurile de administrare sunt din ce in ce mai mari iar numarul contribuabililor în timpul crizelor prelungite, cum este cea prezentă se diminuează cu un procent egal cu rata de creștere a șomajului.
. Acest lucru înseamnă că nu există dovezi pentru  rentabilitatea sistemelor cu capitalizare în SUA, în ciuda fazei sale lungi de dezvoltare liberă și în ciuda piețelor sale financiare foarte avansate.

Ipotezele de bază cu privire la randamentele  viitoare efective reale necesită, prin urmare, o corecție substanțială în sens descendent, ceea ce ar avea implicații considerabile pentru sume anticipate de pensii capitalizate. Ca o aproximare brută, la o reducere de rentabilitate a unui punct procentual, rata de înlocuire, care este procentul de pensie al unei persoane la veniturile sale de pre-pensionare, ar scadea cu mai mult de 20 la sută. Ratele realiste de rentabilitate preconizate, determină astfel pensii capitalizate substanțial mai mici și în funcție de ponderea părții capitalizate rezultând un total de pensii în mod corespunzător mai mici. Acest lucru este de o mare importanță pentru evaluarea caracterului adecvat pe termen lung a sistemelor de pensii, precum și pentru evaluarea durabilității lor financiare.

 Criza din 2008 ale carei efecte înca nu au apărut în totalitate a dovedit pentru sistemele de pensii următoarele neajunsuri, vizibile sau accentuate în special în perioadele de șomaj.
1 . Sistemul PAYG devine nesustenabil în special în perioade de austeritate cand salariile sau veniturile scad si când numarul de contribuabili scade datorita somajului. Sistemul public de pensii, însă implică un contract între stat și contribuabil, motiv pentru care cel puțin în sistemele bazate pe echitate (nu pe formula ultimilor ani)  pensionarul nu este prejudiciat; pensia preconizată ii va fi acordata, riscurile fiind suportate de stat prin transferuri de la bugetul de stat. Deficitul bugetului consolidat creste cu atât mai mult cu cât chiar înaintea crizelor acesta era dezechilibrat prin deficit. Elementul care  ilustrează în formula de calcul performanța economică anuală va trebui să rămâna constant, indiferent de regresul economiei. Altfel, pensia publică are fluctuații cu atât mai mari și dezavantajoase cu cât inflația sau deflația luate in calcul la alcătuirea bugetului anual sunt mai semnificative.
2  Sistemele de pensii private cu capitalizare sunt supuse unui cumul de riscuri care lucrează toate în sensul dezavantajării contribuabilului dacă legislația nu prevede o mențiune relativă la pensia minim garantată. Factorii defavorizanți sunt:
·       Șomajul
·       Deflația
·        Căderea piețelor și crizele bursiere
·       Lipsa de investiții avantajoase
·       Management ineficient
·       Costuri prea mari de administrare a fondurilor, volatilitatea globală a prețului activelor
·       Criza bancară
·       Hazard moral: fraudă, pensie prost vândută, investiții excesiv de riscante, etc
·       Costul administrării unui cont individual este mai mic în perioada de început, crescând în timp proporțional cu valoarea activelor. La acest cost se adaugă si procentul din contributia lunara a fiecarui contribuabil. Costurile de administrare sunt elementul la dispoziția administratorilor să facă departajarea  între o pensie finală cu o rentabilitate pozitivă sau negativă. Ar putea si deflația să acționeze în același sens, dar e greu de presupus că acest risc ar fi preluat integral de custode sau de administratori
Asadar, o concluzie pe care indraznesc sa o expun este aceea ca fondurile de pensii cu capitalizare nici macar pe perioade lungi de timp(40 ani) nu sunt sigure ca vor fi rentabile daca intervin evenimente (riscuri) din cele mentionate mai sus.

În 2000 Polonia era în etapa de campanie pentru pensiile private bazate pe contribuții definite când noi elaboram prima formă a legii pensiilor private. Personal am beneficiat de sfatul unui profesor la Harvard care a stat un an de zile în România în acest scop. Am primit vizita lui Jose Pinnera, părintele pensiilor private din Chile și viitor consilier al lui Bush jr cu care am organizat seminarii și discuții la televiziuni. Am fost cu totul capacitată și convinsă că legea este necesară având în vedere rata mică de înlocuire din sistemul public și raportul extrem de defavorabil dintre lucrători și pensionari precum și șomajul mare, constant. Bugetul public de pensii era în deficit de doi ani și modelele noastre arătau că așa va rămâne. Așadar legea prezentată de mine în guvernul Isărescu dirija o parte din contribuția datorată sistemului public pentru obținerea unei pensii PAYG către capitalizare în speranța investirii cu înțelepciune a acestor bani și înmulțirii lor. Ideea era ca din cele doua componente ale pensiei, una din sistemul public și cealaltă obținută la vârsta pensionării din sistemul privat să rezulte o pensie individuală superioară vechii pensii obișnuite. Cum statul nu putea administra un proces de investiții legea prevedea ca administratori privați să facă acest lucru în baza unor reglementări de detaliu și cu autorizare , supraveghere și control din partea Comisiei speciale pentru pensiile private. În momentul 2004 PSD nu a fost de acord să implementeze această lege, propunându-mi mie în calitate acum de președintă a Comisiei de specialitate din Camera Deputaților să conduc o mică comisie care să parcurgă încă odată legea cu toți colegii în scopul obținerii acordului tuturor partidelor. Zis și făcut. Am urmat singură sau în grup cursuri la Budapesta, Londra, Elveția pentru legislație, administrare, actuariat. Legea a trecut prin parlament susținută de mine în 2004, pusă de acord cu reprezentanții tuturor partidelor. Între timp am scris împreună cu consilierul meu Mihai Șeitam prima carte româneasca despre pensii private. În acel moment legea prevedea un singur comision de administrare  aplicat și anume un procent lunar din contribuție de sub 1%. Sub regimul Boc, si presiunea mediului de afaceri ce dorea să se angajeze in munca de administrare de fonduri de pensii, legea s-a modificat în mai multe locuri, dar într-unul, in mod esential: Comisionul de administrare avea acum doua componente, adica un procent din contribuția lunară și un procent din totalul activelor din contul personal al fiecărui contribuabil. Cu cât activele din contul individual creșteau cu timpul, acest comision devenea din ce în ce mai mare. Nu mai eram în politică, nu am avut cum să intervin. Un timp, un an sau doi rentabilitatea a fost încurajatoare, adică în jur de 10%. În 2015 aceasta era de 7,37% si a scazut in continuu pana in septembrie 2016 cand rentabilitatea medie ponderata a ajuns la 4,76%.

Este momentul în care să ne gândim că fenomenele cumulate de șomaj ridicat, salarii mici, deflație și comisioane în creștere nu mai pot asigura o rentabilitate pozitivă peste ani, când va veni vremea pensionărilor din sistemul cu capitalizare.
De aceea, în aceste condiții diferite de momentul elaborării legii si greu de prevăzut, am abordat problema utilității menținerii acestor fonduri în formula actuală care nu oferă siguranța unei rentabilități pozitive.





                                                                                                                   S.D

Referinte:

Why The OECD And The European Commission Should Significantly Lower Their Assumptions For Returns On Pension Funds by 

Pensii Private, Smaranda Dobrescu, Mihai Seitan Editura juridica 2005



3.10.16

Simon-Nicolas-Henri Linguet’s Eighteenth-Century Perspectives on the Intimate Relationship between a Free Market Economy, the Rise of the “Big Government,” and the Creation of a Police State

Mircea Platon
University of Toronto

Abstract

HSE – Social and Education History Vol. 4 No. 1 Febraury 2015 pp. 49-84

As a lawyer, economist and journalist of European stature, Linguet argued that the political and economic ideas advocated by the “economic philosophes” or the physiocrats, were bound to lead to a dangerous revolution undertaken without a clear idea of the true principles of a new and better society. Linguet's opposition to the physiocrats and his support for the guilds stemmed from a radical populism that prompted him to accuse the philosophes and the physiocrats of talking about humanity while neglecting the sufferings of real human beings. Linguet warned during the 1770s and 1780s that the systematic laissez-faire theories of the philosophes and Turgot's suppression of the guilds would dissolve the traditional ties of society and lead to a conflict between a mass of unemployed people and an oppressive police state. Linguet argued that only a politics of subsistence, welfare, and preventative nurture would prevent the coming revolution. Linguet's clashes with the physiocrats would prompt him to develop a theory of underconsumption as well as a historicist understanding of political economy and of the legal system that would have a deep influence upon the history of humanist economy.
………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
Keywords: economic liberalism, enlightenment, physiocrats, authoritarianism

One of the ideas embraced, especially after the end of the Cold War, by both historians of political economy and political pundits is that, if only left to itself, the “free market” would be able to provide us with both a “small government” and a cornucopia of high quality goods. In this narrative, regulation breeds “big government,” and vice versa, and results in the manufacturing of low quality goods. The smaller the government, the greater the freedom of the market, and therefore the higher the quantity and quality of the goods on the shelves of the supermarkets. The supporters of free market economy have never been able to offer a convincing explanation of the fact that their very enthusiastic “cheers” for global capitalism have always been accompanied by sobs for the growth of the “welfare/nanny state,” or “big government.” Neither could neoliberals offer convincing explanations of the fact that eugenic ideas, aiming to lighten the “burden” of the state by diminishing the number of those deemed socially, racially, intellectually or physically inferior or unfit, internal migration control, and racial segregation have always pleasingly haunted the liberal imagination, from La Beaumelle (Platon, 2011) in the eighteenth century, to certain neoconservatives who translated the plain, old-fashioned racism into fiscal conservatism during the Cold War (Glaser & Possony, 1979).
Beginning with the last decades of the eighteenth-century, the supporters of the free market economy have treated political economy as ontologically sealed against any historical contamination, as an ecosystem functioning according to its own laws. Today, neoliberals discuss the growth of the state with the moral outrage reserved to an ecological catastrophe, as the result of a greasy political spill into the pure ocean of economics. The resulting story is one of heroic “neoliberal” divers struggling and failing, for conjunctural reasons (the Cold War, the “liberal media/academia,” Greenpeace), to stop this spilling caused for contingent, self-serving reasons, by “liberal” (that is, “leftist” in American parlance) politicians who trade freedom for votes. Neoliberals do not seem to take into account any possible structural connection between the rise of the free market and the rise of “big government,” and therefore interpret the growth of the welfare state simply as an indication of the economic and political malaise fostered by a political class kowtowing to the masses. The discourse of “free market” is also a rhetorical tool used by “big business” to bully the state and convince the public that what is good for the big corporations is good for the people, and that no amount of regulation, planning or protectionism could do the amount of public good that corporate self-interest given free rein in an open market can do.
But beside theories that treat the rise of the welfare state as a result of “liberal” wrongdoings, that is as a political catastrophe that could have been avoided by not leaving the straight path of pure economics, a handful of historians have also highlighted the largely neglected possibility that capitalist economy is bound - for a variety of reasons, among which the collusion between the big corporations and the state - to lead to a bigger, more complex, and even more repressive, government, not to a smaller one (Beard, 1931; Higgs, 1987). Indeed, these arguments have found their first very cogent proponent in Simon-Nicolas-Henri Linguet (1736-1794), whose writings against Turgot’s attempt to suppress the guilds in 1776 explored this structural connection between market deregulation, the low quality of goods, and the oppressive size of the state, and pointed out to a different understanding of the nature and relationship between economic and political values than the neoliberal one.
                                       Linguet and the Philosophe Culture

Edward Gibbon, visiting France in 1763, noted that the pro-philosophe salons were disparaging Linguet’s (1762) then recent book on Alexander the Great. Gibbon (1796) suspected that Linguet was probably a writer of more genius than he was credited for. Edmund Burke (1778) translated and published Linguet’s letters to Voltaire on the question of Grotius and natural law theory, which Linguet thought at best useless and usually harmful and which he criticized in the name of a juridical realism akin to Burke’s own historicism. Tocqueville, reading through the vast literature generated by the French Revolution, found that Linguet’s pamphlet La France plus qu’angloise (1788) was “written with very remarkable style, great talent, and some profound and prophetic views” (2001, 2:407). These were mostly in petto endorsements, circulating in private letters (Gibbon’s) or confined to private notebooks (Tocqueville’s). If distinguished by its quality, the historiography dedicated to Linguet (Cruppi, 1895; Vyverberg, 1970; Levy, 1980; Minerbi, 1981; Baruch, 1991; Garoux, 2002; Yardeni, 2005) is also small in comparison with his output, his eighteenth-century impact and his all-around relevance for the history of humanist alternatives to free market economics, many of which were centered on the guilds (Clément, 1854; Sewell Jr., 1980; Coleman, 1995; Potter, 2000; Kaplan, 2001; Clark, 2007; Epstein, & Prak, 2008; Fitzsimmons, 2010).

Simon-Nicolas-Henri Linguet was born on 14 July 1736, as the second child of Marie and Jean Linguet, a professor dismissed from the University of Paris in 1731 for Jansenist leanings. A gifted pupil, Linguet went through schools on scholarships, winning prizes in classical languages and history. Early in the 1750s, Linguet tried, like Rousseau, to make a career in diplomacy, but by 1754 he returned to Paris, where he sought an entrance into the literary world, befriending the poet Claude-Joseph Dorat, and frequenting the circle of Elie-Catherine Fréron, the editor of the L’Année littéraire and Voltaire’s archenemy. Leaving for Reims in 1760, Linguet hatched all sorts of economic and diplomatic schemes during the next two years, trying to break into the manufacturing and wine trade with the help of his own family as well as with the support of his former patron, the duke de Deux-Ponts. When these ventures petered out, Linguet again left Reims for Paris, where he published his Histoire du siècle d’Alexandre (1762) as well as a pamphlet supporting the recently suppressed Jesuits. Linguet’s support of the Jesuits sealed the failure of his book on Alexander the Great, badly received both by the philosophes and the Jansenists, the enemies of the Jesuits (Guerci, 1981).
In the summer of 1762, Linguet enlisted in the army as an “aide de camp” in the engineering division of Charles Juste, duke of Beauvau’s army, and participated in the Spanish-Portuguese War (1761-1763), which was part of the Seven Years War between France and England. After the signing of the peace in 1763, Linguet left Madrid and returned to France, settling himself in Picardy, in the city of Abbéville, where he gained the patronage of JeanNicolas Douville, a former mayor and a counselor in Abbéville’s presidial court. While in Abbéville, and partially with the financial support of Douville, Linguet anonymously published some of his most interesting works, such as Le Fanatisme des philosophes (1764a) and Nécessité d’une réforme dans l’administration de la justice et dans les lois civiles en France (1764b), a book, banned by the government, that opened Linguet’s attack on Montesquieu and on the thèse nobiliaire and advanced the idea of an alliance between the kings and the Third Estate. In October 1764, Linguet had himself inscribed as a stagiaire on the rolls of the Parlement de Paris. But instead of obscurity, Linguet gained European notoriety the very next year, in 1765, when he became the defender of the chevalier François-Jean de la Barre, accused of destroying a wooden crucifix venerated by the pious citizens of Abbéville. Since one of the young men accused of taking part in the blasphemy perpetrated on the night of 8 to 9 August 1765 was none other than Pierre-Jean-Francois-Douville de Maillefeu, the son of Linguet’s protector, Linguet was summoned by Douville to defend the accused. Linguet’s judicial mémoire, published in June 1766, did not manage to save La Barre, executed on 1 July 1766, but attracted the attention of public opinion to the political machinations behind the scenes of the trial by revealing that the initial investigations regarding this case were conducted by Duval de Soicourt, a local political enemy of Douville (Maza, 1993, pp. 46- 47). As a result, Duval de Soicourt was forced by Guillaume-François-Louis Joly de Fleury, the procurator general of the Parlement de Paris, to step down, and in September 1766 the charges against the three remaining defendants were dropped (Levy, 1980, pp. 35-36). In 1767 Linguet published his most important work, Théorie des loix civiles, which criticized Montesquieu's Esprit des lois and proposed an alternative to Montesquieu's sociology of law and to liberal natural law theories. Badly received by both the philosophes (Grimm, 1829-1831, 7: 509, 8: 197; La Harpe, 1820-1821, 15: 86-106) and the physiocrats (Baudeau, 1767, pp. 203-204; Mirabeau, 1762), the work nevertheless assured Linguet's reputation as not only a man of letters and a hot-headed lawyer, but an insightful social critic and political thinker in the vein of Rousseau.
The beginning of the 1770s found Linguet endorsing the chancellor Maupeou and his reform of the parlements, and finally supporting Terray and his anti-physiocratic policies. The polemics against the physiocrats made Linguet the target of André Morellet's Théorie du paradoxe (1775), to which Linguet answered with a cutting Théorie de la libelle, ou L'Art de calomnier avec fruit, dialogue philosophique pour servir de supplement a la "Théorie du paradoxe" (1775) (Morellet, 1821, 1: 226-230). As a result of his attacks on the Parlement, Linguet was disbarred on 1 February 1774, and the numerous appeals filed until the fall of 1775 failed to restore his livelihood. In 1774, Linguet launched his journalistic career as editor of Jean-Joseph Pancoucke’s Journal de politique et de littérature. Despite transforming it into a successful venture, Linguet lost his editorship in July 1776, after criticizing the French Academy and its secretary, d’Alembert, for receiving in its ranks the mediocre La Harpe. Following Linguet’s article, “outraged” academicians complained to the government, and, as a result of ministerial pressure, Panckoucke fired Linguet immediately and appointed La Harpe and Suard in his place. By the end of August 1776, Linguet was therefore out of journalism as well.
Towards the end of 1776, Linguet left France for England, where he launched his Annales politiques et littéraires and published an open Lettre de M. Linguet à M. le Comte de Vergennes, ministre des affaires étrangères en France (London, 1777) that read like a proclamation of independence and a declaration of war on all the beneficiaries and tools of “despotism” in France. Facing this new torrent of vitriolic political journalism, the Keeper of the Seals, Armand Thomas Hue de Miromesnil, asserted that the only way to silence Linguet would be to have him “thrown into a cell for life” (Levy, 1980, p. 213; Burrows, 2004). Indeed, by 1780, Linguet was tricked into coming to Paris, where he hoped to reconcile himself with the authorities, but where he was apprehended and thrown in the Bastille. In 1782 Linguet was freed and he started wandering through Europe, from England to Austria. Linguet’s Mémoires sur la Bastille (1783) was a pan-European bestseller extremely influential in shaping the revolutionary discourse about the oppressive nature of the Old Regime (Charpentier, 1789; Evans, 1793; Cottret, 1986, pp. 105-130). Joseph II ennobled and pensioned Linguet, but afterwards dismissed him for publishing in Annales some Considérations sur l'ouverture de l'Escaut (1784) supporting the Brabant rebellion against Austria.
In 1789, Linguet returned to France where he allied himself with Danton and Camille Desmoulins, supported the Saint-Domingue revolution, and was praised by French revolutionary newspapers as a forerunner in the fight against Old Regime despotism. The papers announced that during that during his social calls in Paris Linguet used a calling card depicting a lion keeping in his claws a pike with a Phrygian bonnet on top of it (Le Martirologe national, 1790, pp. 110-111, 219-222, 262). Indeed, even German revolutionary publications compared him with an untamable lion (von Clauer, 1791, p. 32). However, by June 1791, Linguet retired to the countryside, near Ville d’Avray, to Marnes, where he dedicated himself to agriculture, to local politics, and to his Annales. In June 1793 he was arrested by Order of the Committee of General Security under the accusation of conspiring with the king against the nation (Le courier de l'égalité, 5 October, 1793, p. 22). He was executed on 27 June 1794 as a “partisan and apostle of despotism.” French revolutionary publications would start lambasting him as an opportunist, as a pen for hire, as a hubristic mercenary interested only in inflating his ego as well as his pockets (Rive, 1793, pp. 194-95; Delacroix, 1794, pp. 315-16).
Despite these post-mortem attacks, Linguet appears in retrospect a thinker whose ideological fecundity served to buttress a remarkably stable social, political, cultural and economic framework. Disbarred, twice thrown in prison under the Old Regime, a defender of chevalier de La Barre, an enemy of the philosophes and of the physiocrats, and, as it turned out, not quite a friend of Robespierre either, a defender of the poor and of the much maligned “Asian despotism,” Linguet cast, in the century of Lights, a long and troublesome shadow. Considered a “brutal realist,” Linguet was definitely an anti-nominalist, refusing to get caught in any ideological cobwebs. Linguet’s involvement in some of the most resounding “human rights” trials of the eighteenth century France, such as the trials of La Barre and of the duke d’Aiguillon, the publication of his trial briefs, and his political journalism - a Journal de politique et de littérature (21 issues printed in Bruxelles [Paris] between 25 October 1774 and 25 July 1776), and the Annales politiques, civiques, et littéraires (19 volumes published in London, Bruxelles and Paris between 1777 and 1792) - marked him as one of the most thorough critics of the Old Regime. As one of the first political journalists, ready to make appeals to the “public opinion,” Linguet crafted elements of the future revolutionary discourse, and criticized the “feudalism” of the Old Regime while proposing various fiscal, legal, economic, and social reforms (Censer, 1994, pp. 179-181; Popkin, 1987). His embrace of empiricism, his defense of revolutionary causes such as that of the Belgians revolting against Austrian rule in 1789 or of the Haitians rising against their French colonial masters in 1791, his preoccupation with political economy and the situation of the poor and the oppressed, situated him firmly in the Enlightenment camp. But if he was no defender of the status quo, Linguet was no member of a “party of Enlightenment” either. Linguet questioned the juridical philosophy of the Enlightenment, the political institutions built upon that legal philosophy, the political economy corresponding to these legal precepts and political institutions, and finally the proponents of the new theologico-political consensus. As such, he argued against natural law philosophy, against a political regime based upon the multiplication, separation, and balance of powers such as that advocated by Montesquieu and by his followers, against the economic liberalism of the physiocrats, and finally against the philosophes.
The physiocrats and the philosophes, such as Diderot, were not always on the same page, some philosophes having little taste for the benevolent despotism advocated by the physiocrats, others being more supportive of industry than the physiocrats, others being too bourgeois to dream of a rural kingdom, too civic republican to engage in apologies of luxury, or too opposed to the esprit de système to enjoy the physiocrats’ MalebranchianConfucian esoteric system, which Galiani ridiculed as “economystification” (Weulersse, 1910a, 2: 626-682; 1950, pp. 138-247; 1959, pp. 206-230; Fox Genovese, 1976, pp. 59-62; Eltis, 1995; Riskin, 2003, pp. 42-73). Despite these fault lines, and despite protestations to the contrary on the part of the physiocrats, Linguet labeled the physiocrats as the “philosophes économistes,” tying them firmly to the philosophes. According to Linguet, both groups had the characteristics of a “sect” (a term later used by Adam Smith also), or a “cabal.” Linguet felt that the philosophes received his deeply probing writings with a mild, involuntary “sneeze” and a temporary “agitation” that would become, in time, “a long-lasting delirium” (“un délire durable”) (Linguet, 1771, 1:2). This was, Linguet argued, the fanatical reaction of a sect trying to control and shape the public discourse in order to impose its own orthodoxy instead of merely taking part in a public debate. Linguet pointed out that he was not dispassionately contradicted, but literally hunted down, insulted, viciously slandered, almost destroyed by his enemies, among whom the physiocrate journalist Samuel Dupont de Nemours, in the Ephémerides du citoyen, and the philosophe La Harpe, in the Mercure de France, were the most virulent (Linguet, 1771, 1: 3,7). This obduracy and dogmatic inflexibility was, for Linguet, the sign of a sect at work on a takeover of France. This takeover required the creation of chaos, and therefore it asked for the destruction of any and all moral or professional criteria.
 Both the physiocrats and the philosophes advertised a “freedom” that, Linguet warned, would end up impoverishing, enslaving, and sacrificing the people for the benefit of the rich. This second characteristic was related to the first one, since the sectarian singleheadedness and discipline of the “sect” made them, both the philosophes and the “philosophes économistes,” the guardians of the new, oligarchic establishment arising from “laissez-faire” politics. Linguet argued that the established “public intellectuals” of the day, far from being free intellectual agents, were mere tools of those aiming to increase their economic power in order to achieve a form of economic despotism they would then convert into political power and use to alter the whole “political machine” (Linguet, 1771, 1:9).
 The philosophic invasion of the public sphere left people isolated and epistemologically dizzy, incapable of working out any new way of reconnecting with reality beyond the ever flowing deluge of signs. The linguistic explosion caused epistemological poverty and social implosion; relativism bred both despotism and rebellions since, in the absence of an order based on consensual values, the only way of staying alive was to enslave other people. Appealing to the fear of a revival of the sixteenth century wars of religion, a fear discursively shared by both Jansenists, Jesuits and the philosophes (Van Kley, 1996, pp. 160-162), Linguet argued that instead of reforming the French monarchy the philosophes were unwittingly reopening old wounds and had pushed France on the verge of a civil war: “Throwing around words such as ‘humanity,’ and ‘reason,’ we came near the point of seeing a revival of the quarrels, the schisms, and maybe even the wars of the sixteenth century” (Linguet, 1771, 1:11-12). Rousseau himself obliquely had warned in the “Preface” to his First Discourse on the Sciences and the Arts, that the philosophes were an embodiment of conformism, and that as such they would have been in the first ranks of the League: “There will always be people enslaved by the opinions of their times, their country, and their society. A man who today plays the freethinker and the philosopher would, for the same reason, have been only a fanatic during the time of the League” (Rousseau, 2002, p. 46). Linguet saluted the 1758 suppression of the Encyclopédie, but warned that this act, far from stopping the advance of the philosophic spirit, merely prompted it to assume another identity, that of physiocracy.
 Robert Shackleton (1977) argued that the suppression of the Encyclopédie in 1758 marked the birth of a real “party” of the philosophes (Garrioch, 2004). While historians have looked for various other similar watersheds in the decades going from the 1730s to the 1750s, one of them being the 1752 “affaire de Prades” (Burson, 2010), the importance that Linguet attached to physiocracy as a second, practical, incarnation of an already existing philosophic “sect” deserves consideration because it indicates that the “crucial developments” of the Enlightenment were not already over by the middle of the eighteenth century, as Jonathan Israel (2002, pp. 6-7) advanced from a perspective concerned with democratic equalitarianism, but neglecting economic ideas and changes. With the emergence of the physiocrats, a version of philosophie went from a theoretical to a practical phase, from being a more or less oppositional intellectual discourse to being accepted as part of a program of government. According to Linguet, the suppression of the Encyclopédie merely ushered in a new incarnation of the philosophical “sect.” Abandoning its “encyclopedic envelope,” the “sect” became “the buzzing insect that, since then, all of us have called economics or economic science” (Linguet, 1771, 1:13). The metaphysical speculations that preoccupied the first incarnation of the “esprit philosophique” were abandoned for something more dangerous for the people. As philosophes, the “sect” could be contained and its effects circumscribed to elite salons, whereas the économistes had arrived in a position to change France by direct political and economic intervention. Linguet was convinced that the philosophes harmed people by multiplying the number of empty intellectual signs, thus making social commerce impossible. On the other hand, the économistes altered the very conditions of life by fostering economic monopolies, oligarchies, and by an excessive monetarization of economy that forced people to bow to the market. The poor could therefore ignore the philosophes, but it was impossible for them to remain untouched by the économistes.
  Tocqueville (2001, 1:195-205) would later argue that the philosophes, because isolated from real politics, nurtured radical, utopian ideas that fomented the revolutionary upheavals of 1789-1794. Linguet, on the other hand, claimed that the philosophes were not revolutionary, but corrupting, that is they did not challenge the establishment, but tried to please it in ways that, according to Linguet, harmed France in the long run. The philosophes were not dangerous in opposition, but in power, since their influence was not merely theoretical, but practical, as mercenaries supporting any status-quo, even an utterly corrupt one (Linguet, 1764a, p. 13). Not unlike Rousseau in the First Discourse, what Linguet condemned was not the philosophes’ radicalism, but a sort of eighteenth-century “trahison des clercs”: the philosophes were not too little, but too much involved in real politics, that is in the administration of power and in the accumulation of huge wealth. Instead of pitting reason against injustice, the philosophes rationalized injustice, and expertly crafted learned arguments supporting the interests and policies of their financial backers (Linguet, 1764a, p. 18). Reason justified goals and thus ways of life alien to it.

                                      Linguet, the Guilds, and the Politics of Simplicity

If Linguet argued throughout his whole life against “philosophie,” in both its cultural and economic forms, and if the main thrust of his argument concerned both the philosophes and the physiocrats, Linguet’s concern for the culture of politics stayed with him longer than his preoccupation with the politics of culture. Whereas Linguet’s first writings were dominated by literary concerns, in the 1770s and 1780s Linguet attacked mainly the politico-economic embodiment of philosophie that was Physiocracy.
 For the Physiocrats, the ultimate reality was that of “nature” and of natural law. The role of the state was iconic: it participated in that reality and mediated man’s participation in that reality too. Hence, the state had not merely an existence of fact, but one of right: it was, so to say, deified according to this physiocratic Platonic deism. People were a component of the state, and their “happiness” was an element of the perfect, natural, physiocratic state. The physiocrats recognized, as Warren J. Samuels noted, “no rights independent of state law,” and even property was less “sacred” than “expedient” and useful in maintaining the ideal physiocratic “State” (Samuels, 1992, pp. 12-27, 28-46). The physiocratic drives to streamline the state for future progress were not accompanied by any sustained or systematic efforts to propose any way of “coping with individual misfortune and poverty” and did not take into account the historicity of human existence (Root, 1987, p. 111). Although, as Intendant of Limoges, Turgot created the ateliers de charité, a sort of public works system offering a temporary job in building roads – which played an important role in helping the free trade in the physiocratic scheme of things - to women, children and unskilled men unable to win their daily bread otherwise, this program could not be extended to the rest of France for lack of adequate financial resources. The destitute population of France stood at around a fifth of the total population and the physiocratic reforms aiming to increase agricultural productivity by partitioning and enclosing common lands and woods left many families without a livelihood, severed from their traditional ties and safety networks (Hufton, 1974, pp. 1, 183-88; McStay Adams, 1990, pp, 240-43).
 For Linguet, on the contrary, the starting point was the welfare of the people since, for Linguet, the natural law was not an expression of the universal order, but of social realities, of human needs and passions. For Linguet, the state’s legitimacy did not rest on its putative “natural” or supernatural (Christian) foundations, but on its social utility. The most important prerogative of the ruler was that of preserving the “dignity” of “man” and of not allowing the debasement of the “People,” a concept which, according to Linguet, designated the “real Sovereign” (Linguet, 1770, 50). Linguet argued that since it was impossible to go back to the primordial and truly rightful situation preceding the appearance, by theft, of private property, the state existed as a means to a social end: to ensure public peace and to protect the right to life of its citizens. The state did not have any mission to harmonize citizens with a rational, transcendent, “natural order.” Linguet feared that English-style economic and political liberalism would result in the rise of an “aristocratic monarchy,” of an oligarchic system in which people would have no recourse to justice, and the rich and powerful would go unpunished (Linguet, 1770, p. 74). Writing in his Théorie des loix civiles, Linguet argued that economic liberalism would multiply the bureaucratic-administrative networks and the abuses it was supposed to stifle and would stifle instead precisely the freedom it was supposed to nurture (Linguet, 1770, pp. 72-73). Putting in practice the idea of the ‘balance of powers” required the growth of the administrative apparatus. This multiplication of the branches of the state would lead to the “real despotism” of that “horrible administration which is death, the putrefaction of a state.” Yet, Linguet’s attack on bureaucracy did not signal him as an enemy of what we call today “big government.” According to Linguet, more than the concentration of power in the hands of a single person, citizens should fear the inflationary dispersal of such power, which would result in the total neglect of the laws and to executive and judicial incapacity. Linguet did not deplore the regulating state, but the dissolution of the state authority, the incapacity of the state to uphold its laws and to enforce its standards due to its bureaucratic proliferation, to political factionalism and to economic oligarchies. In fact, for Linguet, despotism was not the same as a strong government, but similar to a ghostly government, to an absence of government, or a “minimal state”: “Despotism is so little like a government, that right from the moment when despotism begins any form of government ceases to exist” (Linguet, 1770, pp. 45-46). Linguet argued that the “balance of powers” theory would prevent those in power from doing any good, but would enable them to harm the citizens. “Checks and balances” liberalism, argued Linguet, made the people a prisoner of the institutions. The multiplication of institutions benefited only the rich, since the poor would never have enough money or time to pursue justice through the required institutional channels (Linguet, 1764b, p. 9). Linguet acknowledged the existence of only two socio-political categories: the rulers, and the subjects, that is those who ruled and those who had to obey because they had the weaker hand. Multiplying the branches of the government did nothing to weaken the elites’ monopoly on power. On the contrary, argued Linguet, the power elites would gain control of the newly-created state institutions and use them to increase their pressure on people by bribing certain social segments and by marginalizing others (Linguet, 1774, pp.1-44-86).

Beside the political conditions for the growth of a despotic “big government,” the English liberal model would create the economic conditions favorable to this growth. Despotism, Linguet argued, thrived in societies reduced to a multitude of “isolated individuals,” easier to exploit (Linguet, 1770, p. 101; see also De Dijn, 2008; Rahe, 2009). And since economic liberalism tended to atomize societies, Linguet argued that the proper political answer to such a social crisis was not the multiplication of state bureaucracies to the expense of the former, organic, forms of solidarity and policing. The price of political freedom was, Linguet argued, social and economic solidarity. Economic liberalism destroyed the complex web of social and economic solidarities existing at a popular level while promising to secure the citizens’ freedom by a web of political solidarities, of political representative institutions and mediating instances between the rulers and the ruled. Yet, Linguet insisted, social and economic organic solidarities and particularities cannot be replaced by individualism at the grass-roots level and labyrinthine bureaucratic solidarities at the state level.     Linguet argued that granting political rights would not alleviate economic inequalities, and that all political rights derived from the right to own private property and thus to not depend on anyone for one’s own subsistence. Therefore, protecting private property and guaranteeing the right to subsistence became the pillars of Linguet’s political system, whose cornerstone was not the state, but the person. Or, Linguet rejected physiocratic laissez-faire ideology precisely because it disenfranchised people by leaving them to the mercy of the market forces, of rich oligarchs and of speculators. The physiocrats were the first to proceed to the “neutralization of history” in political economic discourse. This neutralization or evacuation of history from the political economic discourse had two aspects: the first one was to announce the “ontological enclosurability” of the economic factor and to attribute to this space “natural dimensions,” thus severing it from history. In the words of François Quesnay himself: “Les sciences mêmes abandonnent le système du territoire et vont se perdre dans le système de l’univers” (Weulersse, 1910b, p. 28). The economic factor was thus treated as a “natural” reality decipherable in terms of eternal, natural laws, adverse to experimentation and asking for the use of the deductive method (Arnaud, Barrillon, & Benredouane, 1991, p. 412).
Consequently, the variations, the alternatives, the afterthoughts and the specific situations that had required specific answers from the economic masters would be overlooked or discarded as errors in order to preserve the uninterrupted ideological homogeneity of political economic orthodoxy. Thus, liberal political economy refused historicization and contingency. But the elimination of history from economic thinking would also mean, as the economic historian Mark A. Lutz (1999) showed, disregarding the amount of time (years, decades) it would take “the market” to regain its balance after a shock. It was an interval of hunger, cold, joblessness, death and quiet or rebellious desperation that physiocratic political economy, content with “the big picture,” did not address.
  Linguet’s objections regarded precisely this set of problems. In the first place he showed that economic policy had nothing to do with fanatical and sectarian proclamations of a universal dogma, but with political, social and geographical contingencies. The foreign policy, demographics, natural resources, and political system of a country ought to have counted as factors shaping its domestic economic policy. Linguet also noted that, blinded by a peculiar combination of unenlightened self-interest and naiveté, the physiocrats ignored the sufferings of the poor, and that while they embraced the rhetoric of humanitarianism, their policies resulted in misery, alienation and death. When the urban proletariat revolted because their salaries did not keep up with the inflation, the government resorted to violence and threw them in prison instead of helping them avoid starvation by “giving them what was rightly theirs” (Linguet, 1770, p. 180). Two of the most original articulations of Linguet’s criticism of the physiocrats were his analysis of the physiocrats’ theory of costs and profits, and his critique of the theory of the economic cycle from the point of view of what might be called a theory of underconsumption, according to which Linguet pointed out that sacrificing small farmers for the sake of creating big agribusinesses would lead to a decrease in the number of consumers. Underconsumption would come to the fore of economic literature only in the nineteenth century, due to Jean Simonde de Sismondi in the French speaking world and to Thomas R. Malthus or John A. Hobson in the English speaking world (Nemmers, 1972; Spengler, 1980, pp. 333-343).

 The physiocrats affirmed that there was a certain natural order based on eternal and unchanging laws, as “imprescriptible as those of physics” (Laski, 1936, pp. 207-8). In order to prosper, any society had to follow these rules (Du Pont de Nemours, 1910, p. 7). The reforms proposed by the physiocrats were not “a result of temporary economic necessity, but a rigid deduction from certain unassailable and immutable principles, newly discovered by their master Quesnay” (Einaudi, 1938, p. 10). Quesnay’s system was expounded, developed and popularized by his followers, Pierre Samurel Du Pont de Nemours, the marquis de Mirabeau, Nicolas Baudeau (1776), and Pierre-Paul Le Mercier de la Rivière (1767; see also May, 1975, pp. 58-94), who advanced the idea that agriculture was the only productive endeavor. Only agriculture brought a “net profit,” that is “a rent over and above the costs of production and the entrepreneur’s profits” (Einaudi, 1938, p. 11). In agriculture, the physiocrats thought they discovered a source of wealth that “has the privilege of multiplying infinitely” (Weulersse, 1959, p. 14) thus breaking with the zero sum economic theory of classical civic republicanism. This also meant that if the first generation of physiocrats (the early Quesnay, abbé Gabriel-François Coyer) were interested in small-scale agriculture, the second generation of physiocrats (lead by a reconstructed Quesnay, Mirabeau, Baudeau, Dupont de Nemours, Le Mercier de La Rivière) would insist upon large farms, which they saw as more profitable since by cutting costs the big farmers would create more of that “net product,” or capital needed to sustain the whole economic body. This, as Linguet shrewdly pointed out, indicated that the physiocrats were interested only in the “produit net,” not in the well-being of the people.
 Ontologically impermeable to history, and therefore to the sufferings of a humanity reduced to the status of a cog in the wheel of a naturalized, greater scheme of economic things, physiocracy, in Linguet’s opinion, betrayed its promise, even while fulfilling its premises. According to Linguet, despite its promise of freedom and prosperity, physiocracy would bring only “servitude,” poverty, and death, because physiocracy sought to increase the “net profit” by cutting costs in order to increase productivity. Since one of the “costs” targeted for elimination was that of human labor, physiocracy reduced human beings to the status of mere cheap and therefore expendable tools. According to the physiocrats, the “net profit” could be increased by reducing the number of small independent farmers - whom the physiocrats wanted to transform into rural proletarians - and by further reducing the number of rural proletarians by forcing them to choose between starvation and inner migration to the cities as urban proletarians. Linguet denounced the economic calculations of the physiocrats as demographically ruinous, economically crude, and humanely cruel, and warned that they would amount to a “sum of privations rather than to an equality of pleasure” (Linguet, 1771, 2: 210-11). The physiocrats promised a flourishing economic life based on the fact that wealth would eventually trickle down in a naturally, perfectly balanced system. Linguet argued that, in fact, the increase of wealth postulated by physiocracy was dependent upon imbalances in the system, that economic liberalism thrived on imbalances produced by such common eighteenth-century practices (Thirsk, 1999; Wyngaard, 2004, pp. 151-90) as the enclosures of the commons, renting one’s land to the higher bidder after expelling the peasant families who used to work that land, or the sudden increases in the price of bread. These revenue increases, Linguet argued, lasted only until all the other prices rose to keep up with them, with the more expensive price of bread, for example. So, if the increase in wealth was dependent not upon the balance but upon the imbalances of the system, the net result would mean that the physiocratic system would only be favorable to those able to create such imbalances. But the economic veneration of wealth gave birth to the political cult of the wealthy, according to Linguet, who argued that, by focusing on the accumulation of wealth, the physiocrats opened the way to the cult of the rich, of oligarchs: “Full of a not very philosophic veneration for anyone who has a big purse, they kneel in front of that fortunate being; and stand up only in order to order the entire world to submit to the same humiliation, and to claim that only these individuals deserve our respect” (Linguet, 1771, 2:222).
  Linguet was not interested in how much “energy” one physiocratic farmer could milk out of “Nature,” but in how many people could subsist on a certain piece of land, or in how many livelihoods could be preserved by a political economy favoring the small farmers, craftsmen or merchants. Linguet pointed out that, compared with the big farms, small farms were cultivated with greater care, that their soil was less depleted, that they employed more people and paid in nature, avoiding the monetarization of the economy and the bankruptcies accompanying the development of a monetary economy (Linguet, 1771, 2:210-211). Big farms were, instead, more lucrative for their owner, “but infinitely more damaging” to that corner of the country were they are located, and to the state in general because they destroyed the local economy by replacing the stable peasant-tenants with migrant workers: thus, both the profit of the owner and the salary of the temporary workers is not reinvested locally, but in the city or in other provinces. In the end, the wealth of the big farm owner is spurious because it is obtained by ruining the countryside by investing less in it and in the people inhabiting it. It was a wealth that robbed the people of their dignity, of their means of subsistence and in the end of their freedom. Political freedom, the political rights of a human being possessing nothing, being reduced to selling its own personal labor on a market swelling with cheap available workforce, was nothing. The physiocrats claimed that by liberalizing the labor market they were making work available to everyone (Sheperd, 1903; Maldidier, & Robin, 1973; Groenewegen, 2002. pp. 314- 30). But the physiocratic policy of opening up the labor market drove down the price of labor and made it hard for workers to subsist by their own work. If the physiocrats offered a man the right to emancipate himself by selling his own labor on the marketplace, Linguet maintained that politics, even parliamentarian politics, as in England, was a game of force, and that only an independent, self-sustaining man could stand for his freedoms, while a hired hand was worse than a slave. Freedom, like property, existed for Linguet first as a fact and only afterwards as a right. It was, in a way, a nonnominalist, human scale, prescriptive liberty. For Linguet, small property was the only bulwark against the grasping hand of both the state and the big private monopolies. While Linguet was not a follower of Montesquieu’s political theory and disparaged intermediary bodies such as parlements, which he saw not as bulwarks against despotism but as a way of trickling down despotism and corruption, his politics of simplicity required the existence of the economic intermediary bodies known as guilds, or “jurandes.”
  When, in January 1776, Turgot promulgated his famous six edicts, one of which dissolved the craft guilds, Linguet jumped to their defense. Paradoxically, Turgot attacked the guilds precisely because he was not an orthodox physiocrat, and as such he was not ready to neglect industry for the sake of agriculture (Fairchilds, 1988, pp. 688-692). The corporations suppressed by Turgot were professional organizations having the right to manage their own affairs, to define and enforce their own standards of quality, to establish the selling price, and to issue professional licenses. The guilds also functioned as support networks for their sick, poor or otherwise afflicted members. But Turgot’s Édit portant la suppression des jurandes (1913-1923, 5: 238-55) charged the guilds with stifling free competition, with keeping the prices unnecessarily high due to their monopolistic practices, with encroaching upon the right to work by their quality controls and by their conditions of access to mastership after long years of apprenticeship, after producing a “masterpiece,” and after paying what Turgot deemed to be high taxes in order to accede to the rank of master. The guilds, wrote Turgot, blocked competition among craftsmen by refusing the right to work to immigrant jobless craftsmen coming from England. Despite de fact that women were actually able to use to their advantage the guild system (Crowston, 2000; Lanza, 2007, pp. 83-152), Turgot claimed that guild standards kept women and the poor out of certain crafts, such as embroidery, for which, Turgot argued, women were particularly suited (Turgot, 1913-1923, 5: 241). The right to work was “sacred,” argued Turgot, it was God-given, and therefore it was not a right that the monarchy should sell to its subjects: everybody should be free to practice whatever craft they were willing and able to master (Turgot, 1913-1923, 5: 242-43). Turgot accused the guilds of squandering huge sums of money on feasts as well as on lawsuits. Either too convivial or too querulous, the guilds spent money in ways that Turgot could single out as particularly heinous in the context of the French government’s frantic attempts to deal in the 1770s with France’s huge fiscal deficits (Kwass, 2000, pp. 21-115). Turgot therefore attacked the guilds not merely in the name of the “laissez faire” that physiocrats opposed to that form of “Asian despotism” that was regulation (Vroil, 1870, p. 219), but also from the perspective of the discourse of financial austerity that was becoming increasingly important for a monarchy submerged in public debt. Turgot suggested that the state might profit more from a flourishing industry liberated from guild constraints than from selling offices related to these corporations. Therefore, with the exception of four guilds, those of the barbers-wigmakers-steamroom keepers, of apothecaries, of silver/goldsmiths, and of printers/booksellers, all the other guilds saw their rules and their corporate freedoms abolished. The battle against Turgot’s edicts raged between January and July 1776. In January Turgot issued the edict of the suppression of the corporations, in March it was registered by the Parlement after a royal lit de justice, but by July it was abandoned in favor of a mixed system that allowed the corporations to exist, but put them in competition with free craftsmen.
 Linguet’s Réflexions de six corps de la Ville de Paris, sur la suppression des Jurandes opened with a brief historical disquisition on the guilds, followed by an enumeration of Turgot’s complaints against them and a point by point refutation of Turgot’s claims. In the third and final section, Linguet presented a case for preserving the guilds. Linguet started by pointing out that China, a country of reference for the Physiocrats, regulated the trades in the spirit of a very “rigorous” “despotism,” completely opposed to Turgot’s attack on the guilds in the name of “liberté,” “indépendance,” and “concurrence” (Linguet, 1776, p. 2). Regulation, Linguet argued, was only normal, since there had never been a period in the history of any “great Empire” or “significant City” without corporations: either “established” by the state, or sui generis creations (Linguet, 1776, p. 2). Indeed, the history of guilds shows that there were two ways of establishing a corporation: the Roman way, by state-sponsored organization and incorporation, and the Germanic way, by the grass-roots, democratic establishment of confraternities consecrated by no positive law but consisting in groups of people seeking to become friends and look after their own common interests and justice (Black, 1984, pp. 3-43). Linguet looked therefore at the guilds and trade corporations as historically confirmed cogs in the governmental wheel, as Montesquieu-an pillars of the state. In other words, while Linguet did not recognized the representativity of the aristocratic Parlements, he saw the craft guilds as part of the “Nation,” and as bulwarks to despotism (Linguet, 1776, p. 3).
  Like the nineteenth-century conservative Juan Donoso Cortes (Imatz, 2013, p. 146), with whom he also shared a historicist understanding of the law, Linguet argued that guilds were therefore useful from an administrative point of view, since they articulated and policed society. Far from being inimical to freedom, guilds secured the existence of that order without which freedom was impossible: they were the “regiments” without which society would crumble in disarray and people would desert their duties (Linguet, 1776, p.3). Considering that their existence was not a hindrance, but a resource of the state, Linguet recommended the reform of the guilds, not their abolition. Linguet hinted that instead of squeezing them financially, for taxes and corporate loans to the monarchy, the state should consider the much more important political ways in which the guilds could serve the monarchy. Linguet would revisit this idea in 1788-1789, in the context of the pre-revolutionary crisis, when, to the dismay of the international banking creditors of France (Clavière, 1788), he urged the monarchy to declare bankruptcy and thus to refuse the politics of austerity imposed by the bankers, and called for an anti-aristocratic alliance between the monarch and the Third Estate (Van Kley, 1996, pp. 282-88, 317-21).
 The suppression of the guilds was, for Linguet, merely another step in the direction of physiocratic despotism, the despotism of the rich robbing the people of their livelihoods under the guise of liberalizing the right to work. Indeed, Turgot and the physiocrats saw the dissolution of the guilds as an essential step toward creating an urban space for the rural proletarians displaced from villages by the enclosure of the commons and the creation of big farms, which most of the physiocrats considered more profitable than the subsistence agriculture. If, refused a livelihood in the villages, as agricultural workers, the poor would also have been unable to enter a trade in the cities, the government might have had on its hands a huge mass of discontented people, in the already difficult context of revolts caused by the rising price of bread due to bad crops and the partial deregulation of grain trade (the intendants subtly manipulated the grain market, supplying it with provisions bought with state money in order to lower the prices). Turgot’s attack on the guilds had therefore political motivations as well as ideological overtones.
  Linguet noted four ministerial reasons supporting the abolition of the guilds: first, the expansion of industry; second, the diminution of the price of work and of manufactured goods; third, the reduction of what we call now “red tape,” of bureaucratic regulation of business; and fourth, the suppression of wasteful and vindictive trials between guilds such as the judicial feud between bakers and steakhouse proprietors about whether or not the later were allowed to own an oven. Linguet answered that, in fact, the guilds acted as preservers of quality standards. He noted that Swiss clockmakers, where manufacture was unregulated, could no compete with French craftsmen (Linguet, 1776, pp. 4-5; see also Turner, 2008). Indeed, the question of quality stood at the heart of this debate. The physiocrats protested that requiring ten years of apprenticeship in order to be declared a master tub maker betrayed a dim view of human intelligence and insisted that workers and craftsmen had to be willing to retrain to compete in the free and rapidly changing job market. Linguet answered that it was impossible to master a craft without years of hard and constant work, and that only guilds allowed craftsmen to train in such a way. But the physiocrats’ readiness to dispense with training was a practical consequence of their nominalist axiology according to which absolute quality did not exist. Simon Clicquot de Blervache (1723-1796), an academic prize-winning physiocrat who was, together with Linguet’s enemy Morellet, a member of the physiocratic circle working in the 1750s under the protection of Vincent de Gournay, the royal Intendant of Commerce (Minard, 1998; Skornicki, 2006), argued that the only duty of the manufacturers and of the merchants was not to offer good merchandise, but merchandise that would sell well and that could spur demand by fueling the “consumer’s” “caprice,” “fantasy,” and “whims” (Blervache, 1758, p. 44). Indeed, Blervache argued that manufacturers could be more useful to the state by producing “mediocre and even bad” goods, as long as the low price of this shoddy merchandise “invites and determines” the people to consume (Blervache, 1758, p. 49). As “Inspecteur general des manufactures et du commerce,” a position he occupied between 1765 and 1790, Blervache developed this line of argument in 1779 in a series of memoirs successfully requesting the continuation of the mixed or two tiered system in which regulated and unregulated manufacturers coexisted (Vroil, 1870, 161).
  If Turgot claimed that abolishing the guilds would lower prices, Linguet pointed out that competition only served to lower the quality of products, since the war of prices would by necessity force craftsmen to cheat on quality in order to maintain as low a price as possible. Honest craftsmen, Linguet argued, would be forced either to stop being honest or get out of business because they would not be able to face dishonest competitors. By the end of 1776, Linguet, who had quarreled with Panckoucke, left France for England. Therefore Linguet’s letter on the jurandes must be dated around March-June 1776. In March 1776, Adam Smith published what was to become his classic work, The Wealth of Nations, in which, from a position inimical to the guilds, he famously and alliteratively hold that the butcher, the backer, and the brewer did not sell their clients a product of quality because of their social concerns, but only because it was in their own interests to do so. We do not know if Linguet read Smith in 1776 or later, but in defending the guilds he pointed out one of the inconsistencies in the liberal line of thought. Thus, Linguet argued that, in order for it to be in the self-interest of producers to turn out, or of merchants to sell, a good product, they would have to live in what Peter Laslett would later call a “face to face society” (Laslett, 1963). In a world wide open to the free circulation of goods, in big cities swarming with people moving in and out as undetected as the origins of the goods they buy or sell, the buyer could not exert the quality control that was available to someone living in a smaller, more cohesive community. Someone from the faraway corners of an empire could not penalize the faulty craftsmanship of the metropolitan producer. Distance bred irresponsibility, and free circulation encouraged transporting the goods to increasingly faraway markets. Therefore, free circulation decoupled selfinterest from responsibility (Linguet, 1776, pp. 6-7).
  Linguet pointed out the social and economic benefits of cooperation, and his accent on the importance of social capital prompted modern scholars to consider him as one of the first great socialist thinkers or to bestow upon him the title of “the first anti-economist” (Durkheim, 1961, p. 94 ; Coleman, 2002, pp. 22-28). According to Linguet, cooperation allowed manufacturers to be extremely flexible in meeting the fluctuating demands of the market without raising the prices or hiring and firing people according to the impersonal demands of the marketplace. And this flexibility was possible only because the cost was partly absorbed by social capital, by guild solidarity yet unspoiled by a free-market economy dedicated to fierce competition for markets and lower costs. Guilds functioned as an insurance, welfare, and supply network that helped producers and consumers avoid the fluctuations of the market The guild system cushioned the effects of the boom and bust capitalist economic cycle by not allowing craftsmen give in to what we now call “bubbles,” and to what Linguet called “this imaginary bigness” (“cette grandeur chimérique”) to which they were suddenly catapulted by good times (Linguet, 1776, p. 9). Linguet argued that producers fixated on competition for a corner of the market and for profits would lose sight of the buyer, who would end up being forced to choose between shoddy goods produced at the lowest possible cost. Unbridled competition would be bad for manufacturers, too, since they would stand at the mercy of the middle-man, of the distributors whose interest was to buy cheaply and to sell dearly. Faced with competition, the producer would try to meet the orders of the distributors as fast as he could, thus sacrificing quality for the sake of productivity: “He will cheat the merchant, who, at his turn, will cheat the buyers” (Linguet, 1776, pp. 7-8).
  Therefore, liberal economic rationality, far from simplifying the economic life, would just result in flooding the market with a wave of fake artisans, shoddy goods, and dishonest merchants. Rushing to replace the old, honest masters craftsmen, would be “parasitical masters,” eager to manufacture or to invest in manufacturing anything that sold well, and thus ruining the old masters dedicated to the perfection of their craft. (Linguet, 1776, p. 17). This deluge of fake goods would force the state to control it by creating agencies dedicated to quality controls. Removing therefore the quality controls at the guild level would force the state to assume tasks previously accomplished by the guilds. Whenever a certain craftsman would have to obtain a license in order to practice his craft, this license would have to be provided either by his guild or by state authorities. The alternative would be to dispense with professional licenses altogether in order to attain that “simplicité de régie” much praised by Turgot and by the physiocrats. But if the state deemed that professional licenses would still be necessary, then shifting them from the guild to state administration would not result in any simplification of economic life, or reduction of state bureaucracy. Liberal economics and “big government,” argued Linguet, are inherently correlated, since liberal economics required tearing up the whole social fabric based on guild autonomy. The state would then have to spin the web of a police state as the price of destroying those very useful resources of the state that were the guilds, already invested with traditional liberties, and organically involved in policing the kingdom (Linguet, 1776, p. 10). It was a perfect example of what Tocqueville would describe later as a growth of the leveling, administrative state at the expense of civil society, a form of centralization that violently removed certain prerogatives from civil society, where they were exercised in a reasonably fair manner, only to award them to the state administration.
 Turgot and the physiocrats argued that the liberalization of industry was crucial for the creation of a larger market for agricultural products, that is for big farmers. Linguet warned that liberalizing the manufacturing sector would on the contrary be ruinous for the countryside. Peasants, argued Linguet, would be lured to the cities by the hope and promise of easy money, by the idea of engaging in some productive manufacturing activity, without having to submit first to long years of apprenticeship. Once the guilds abolished, the quality of products would crumble, and the relatively homogenous quality maintained by the guilds would be replaced by a multi-tiered system, with different levels of quality, for different pockets. Lowering quality levels would allow immigrant peasants to hope that, even if they would never achieve great mastery, they would acquire enough skills to secure a mediocre living. Thus, lowered manufacturing standards would in fact breed social unrest, since the market would be crowded by mediocre producers of worthless goods. And those mediocre producers would soon find themselves in a strange city and out of a job, with their dreams crushed and unable to return to the countryside. If physiocrats maintained that knowledge was the first property of a man, and that depriving somebody of a good education was similar to expropriating him, Linguet retorted that destroying quality standards, pushing people in the direction of a perpetual improvisation to meet the demands of the market, and depriving them of the chance to acquire, refine and securely practice a craft was similarly ruinous for the individual and for the state (Linguet, 1776, p. 14). Linguet warned therefore that the idea, dear to the physiocrats and advanced by Adam Smith in his Wealth of the Nations, that any worker who would not find work in the city would just go back to the countryside or would just learn another trade was false. Trying to find a solution to the problems raised by unemployment, Linguet supported the creation of a social welfare fund, or “caisse nationale,” and tackled homelessness in a Plan d’établissement, tendans à l’extinction de la mendicité (1779).
  Trades were thus distorted by the same consumer culture as the intellectual life denounced by Linguet in his anti-philosophe writings. Since acquiring a craft was an exercise in stability and competence, the guilds produced useful citizens, even though “unenlightened” by the standards of the philosophes controlling the salon-centered “public sphere.” Eliminating the guilds with their apprenticeship requirements was simply another way to leave people at the mercy of their own emotions, whims, and unrealistic ambitions. Linguet feared that, instead of learning a craft, young people would just float between jobs, and would go from profession to profession without really mastering anything. If the physiocrats argued that blocking the entrance of young, poor people in the trades produced a mass of unemployed vagrants, Linguet argued that suppressing the guilds would erode the economic and symbolic status of work itself, producing a mass of overworked vagrants, of people for whom a job would not mean a secure place in the world. Linguet warned that abolishing the guilds would encourage the apparition of unsettled individuals who would easily fall prey to a new mass consumer culture that, influenced by philosophe culture, would fuel wishful thinking, baseless pride, and inflated pretensions. Immersed in this culture, the French would become a people ruined by a revolution of higher expectations excited by the philosophes (Linguet, 1776, pp. 5-6).
 Linguet cogently denounced the effects of the proletarization of the peasants, analyzed so well by the nineteenth-century sociologists and economists (Patnaik, 2007, pp. 86-127). He argued that, far from being a “natural,” that is a smooth because organic evolution, the urban acculturation of a peasantry hunted from the countryside by enclosures and a free-market economy was a violent process in which people, “torn form their rustic and respectable occupations,” would be exposed to a violent cultural shock (the “vertiges de la culture des Arts dans les Villes”) (Linguet, 1776, p. 14). The result of this acculturation would be the creation of a mass of alienated peasants/proletarians (“Villageois dépaysés”), neither peasants nor bourgeois, tortured by hunger and moral decay, and impossible to police since the waning of the guilds would bring with it that of social control.
Linguet argued that it was easier to police corporations than individuals. After destroying the old guild structure of civil supervision and professional control, the state would have to build an entire police apparatus, such as Napoleon did later, with far thinner organic connections to the civil society than the guilds. Abolishing the guilds, who policed the “moeurs” and nourished the “purity” of family life (Linguet, 1776, p. 19), would force the state to ensure public peace with the help of another “guild,” that of professional policemen. The citizens would eventually find policemen far more alien and intrusive than the old guilds, which had provided social stability at the neighborhood level. With guilds, society policed itself: with a police force, it would be the state policing society (Linguet, 1776, p. 15).
  Linguet warned that, in case of a rebellion of jobless workers or ruined craftsmen, the state would be unable to calm social tensions using the proven ways and channels of the guilds. Losing any contact with the people, the state would thus lose its capacity to negotiate with its citizens. This incapacity would in its turn lead to the need for harsher punishments and for more severe repression in case of popular revolt (Linguet, 1776, p. 18). Linguet feared that governmental violence against jobless workers would only serve to delegitimize the monarchy. The result would be a general revolution resulting in the violent fall of the monarchy: “Out of the blood of these victims would grow the tree of liberty” (Linguet, 1776, p. 19). The genius of the guilds was that they “took care of everything, balanced everything, reconciled everything” (Linguet, 1776, p. 19), securing for craftsmen a certain degree of financial and social stability and also allowing the bourgeois their fair share of social honors and authority (Shovlin, 2000). Linguet deemed this last characteristic especially important in a society in which “the manufacturing and commercial bourgeoisie” was “rejected” from careers, such as the military, allowing a “more luminous glory” than that of the workshop (Linguet, 1776, p. 19).
 Abolishing the guilds would therefore mean abolishing the principle of “honor” that connected the king with his most humble subject (Smith, 2005). Along with the honor would go any other criteria for judging the quality of workmanship. The disappearance of professional criteria would lead to the vanishing of any social rules, and also of social solidarity, of the sense of moral obligation that made members of the guilds take care of craftsmen’s widows or of craftsmen going through dry patches (Linguet, 1776, p.20). The fallout from a free-market economic policy and the abolition of the guilds as intermediary links in the great social chain – all these, Linguet concluded, would force the state to specialize in maintaining and managing a monopoly of violence. The monopoly in turn would spur the growth of a bigger and more powerful state. Economic liberalism would result in political illiberalism, Linguet argued. And both of them were, according to Linguet, legacies of the philosophe culture, one in which there was no absolute value, but merely a fluctuating price, and in which, accordingly, it was impossible to live or speak in good faith, or to hold anyone accountable. The axiological void at the heart of the free market economy encouraged a social and epistemological crisis that allowed the forces of anarchy and corruption to grow by feeding on each other. In this paradigm, the connection between a deregulated market, the proliferation of state bureaucracy, and the development of a police state due to the social unrest caused by a malfunctioning government and a rampant oligarchy manipulating the free market is one between cause and effects.

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